Women’s March, Saturday, January 19th!

Dear Group,

Save the date: Saturday, January 19, is the Spokane Women’s March. (That’s just 11 days from now, Saturday after the coming one!) The blurb below is copied from the Women’s March Spokane Facebook page. Come downtown and meet friendly people. It’s a celebration of what makes us human. Get involved in the local scene. See you there!

All inclusive, non-partisan, issue driven event, to rally our community together for the good of all women+ and allies.

Equal pay, raise your voice, racial equity, freedom from violence, quality child care, environmental justice, refugee and immigration practices, access to health care, education, women’s rights are human rights… all voices welcome.

Located in the convention center near the Opera House

10:00 Doors open Volunteer Action Fair

12:00 Rally with speakers and music

1:00 March line-up and route through downtown

post march convention center activities until 3:00

STA Schedule: [See P.S. Below]

Parking: meters and lots downtown

ADA accessible

ASL Interpreter

Food and beverage for purchase via Spokane Convention Center concessions

Women+s March Spokane endeavors to harness the power of diverse women in our community to create transformative social change; promote civil rights for every human regardless of age, gender, race, sexual orientation, ethnicity, ability, religion, housing or economic status; amplify the work of community leaders and organizations to educate, mobilize, dialogue and engage our community in collective action to advance justice, equity, freedom, and inclusion.

Keep to the high ground,

Jerry

P.S. Here’s another novel idea: Ride the Spokane Transit Authority’s (STA) bus system! Here’s a link to a map of the system. Here’s a page with a transpiration planner. It’s fun…and, in my limited experience, it is on time. It’s cheaper than parking and you get to see our city from a different angle. Try it!

Smelters, Silicon, and Solar Panels

SCHEMATIC:

HHiTest Sand of Alberta, Canada would send high quality quartz ore from their mine to:

the proposed PACWest Silicon smelter in Newport, WA.  PAC West would use low cost electrical energy to smelt the quartz ore into silicon metal and would sell it to: 

Manufacturers like REC Silicon (a Norwegian company) of Moses Lake and Hemlock Semiconductor (? of Ohio) who produce polysilicon crystals they are currently selling to: 

Manufacturers of solar panels and semiconductors.  (worldwide?)

         _________________________________________

Dear Group,

On December 27 a tiny article appeared in the Spokesman entitled “‘Suspicious device’ found near Moses Lake manufacturing facility.” The manufacturing facility is REC Silicon, an enormous, brightly lit plant you see from I-90 just east of Moses Lake about a mile north of the highway. The bomb in the car apparently wasn’t intended for REC Silicon, but that was not the part of the article I found interesting. From Chad Sokol’s Spokesman article:

REC Silicon, one of the largest employers in Grant County, was spun off from a larger Norwegian corporation, REC Group, which makes solar panels.

REC Silicon, which also has a manufacturing facility in Butte, said earlier this year its business was damaged by the United States’ trade war with China and retaliatory Chinese tariffs on polysilicon materials.

In July, the company laid off about 40 percent of its Moses Lake workforce, impacting about 100 employees, according to news outlet iFiber One. At the time, the company warned that it could be forced to close the Moses Lake plant if the trade dispute was not alleviated.

Apparently, McMorris Rodgers’ “positive disruptor”’s tariff war with China isn’t just disrupting agricultural markets for our region, but is also costing the region jobs in the silicon industry related to manufacturing solar panels. Loss of 100 jobs and possible closure of a major plant with the potential loss of 150 more is a big deal in Grant County. In Grant County Moses Lake (pop. 20,366) is the biggest town and agriculture is already under siege. 

One thing leads to another: REC Silicon in Moses Lake supposedly would be a major buyer of the silicon produced by the proposed PACWest silicon smelter in Newport WA. From the PACWest website:

The majority of the silicon metal produced by PacWest Silicon will be converted to a high-purity form of silicon by polysilicon producers, such as REC Silicon in Moses Lake.

How much will decreased demand from the Moses Lake REC Silicon plant due to the Trump tariff war dampen the enthusiasm for PACWest Silicon (part of HiTestSand of Edmonton, Alberta) to build a silicon smelter in Newport, Washington? Trucking raw material (quartz rock) from Canada to Newport was supposed to make sense due to proximity to inexpensive hydropower, but proximity to and demand for much of its output of silicon metal must also factor in.

Well, here’s where things get a bit murky. Companies producing polysilicon (mostly for solar panels and semiconductors) in the United States have been struggling since 2011. That year the U.S. government imposed tariffs on Chinese solar panels, arguing the Chinese were engaging in dumping product on the U.S. market. (“Dumping” suggests selling goods below the cost of producing them [temporarily] in order to undercut competitors.)  The Chinese retaliated with tariffs on polysilicon from the U.S. That counter-tariff produced collateral damage to companies producing polysilicon in the U.S. like the REC Silicon plant in Moses Lake and Hemlock back east. Those two are generally recognized (in a web search) as the major producers of polysilicon crystal in the U.S. Since then the Chinese have worked hard to ramp up their own polysilicon production.

It is the recent Trump tariff war, though, that is precipitating the job loss and potential closure of the Moses Lake REC Silicon plant on account of even greater retaliatory tariffs against U.S. polysilicon, a tariff war that seems bound up in Trump’s wish to “bring back coal.” So where does PACWest plan to sell its pure silicon metal for use in the solar panels and semiconductors if the U.S. polysilicon industry is in the toilet thanks to tariffs? Will the Newport plant produce silicon from trucked in Canadian quartz and then export the product back to Canada and, through Canada, to the rest of the world, e.g. China (and avoid the tariffs)? I asked this of a contact in PACWest. He reassured me I had overlooked “other larger polysilicon producers in the U.S.” whose names he could not reveal due to non-disclosure agreements. Furthermore, “You will see in Q1 or Q2 [first and second quarters of 2019] several very large expansion announcements in the South East US that will increase US Poly demand.” I presume by this he means expansion of companies manufacturing solar panels, since solar panel production is now the main destination of polysilicon.

Interesting how all this interlocks and how much of it happens outside the consciousness of the 99% of the population, while jobs in Moses Lake are lost, jobs are dangled as bait in Newport, and multinational companies shuffle money in their endless pursuit of profit. I wonder if McMorris Rodgers has all this in mind as she praises her “positive disruptor,” the instigator of the trade war? 

Keep to the high ground,

Jerry

P.S. Silicon is an element (Si). In its highly purified crystalline form (polycrystalline silicon, also called polysilicon or poly-Si) silicon is used in solar cells and electronics.  Silicone is polymer, a synthetic compound with a repeating sequence of silicon, oxygen, carbon, and sometimes other elements. Silicone compounds are used in sealants (like caulking compound), adhesives, lubricants, medicine, breast implants, cooking utensils, and thermal and electrical insulation. The output from the Moses Lake REC Silicon plant looks to be mostly destined for solar cells and other electronics. In contrast the processed silicon metal from the proposed Newport plant could go to electronics (e.g. via REC Silicon) but might also find its way into more prosaic things like silicone polymer products. (PACWest indicates its metal will be so pure it will mostly go to solar panels and semi-conductors “and a small amount to the Aluminum market.”)

A Few Votes Make a Difference Again

Dear Group,

Most of us probably were aware of elections in Florida, Georgia, and North Carolina that were squeakers. They made national news. In contrast, I needed to do a google search to see who won the race for Spokane County Assessor, Tom Konis or Leonard Christian. 

Why did I care? Tom Konis worked in the assessors office for decades. He clearly possesses the expertise, and, as I understood it, he was well liked and respected by those who work there. Mr. Christian’s prior experience was as a conservative real estate broker, and appointed Republican Representative to the WA State Legislature (LD 4, Spokane Valley and north). He was appointed in 2014 to fill the seat from which Larry Crouse resigned for health reasons. Mr. Christian apparently was insufficiently conservative, since he was defeated by both Republican challengers, McCaslin Jr. and Diana Wilhite in the fall of 2014. His other qualification for assessor was “Republican Party District Leader.” 

It seemed to me this was a clear example of expertise for the job (Konis) in a race with a politician (Christian). My view of Konis, also a Republican, was further enhanced by rumors I’d heard of his occasionally appearing as a friendly face at events mostly attended by Democrats. Why should Republican credentials have anything to do with the job of County Assessor?

On November 8th, two days after the polls closed, Christian was ahead by almost a thousand votes. Twelve days after the election the lead shrank to around five hundred (with about 3,500 write-ins and more than 46,000 undervotes). It wasn’t until a November 27, twenty-one days after the election, that Konis pulled slightly ahead “after elections officials counted more than 7,800 ballots that had to be duplicated because problems made them unreadable by the scanners.” The two votes over 150 topped the requirement for a hand recount, and Tom Konis was certified as the winner on December 12.

I am impressed by the diligence of the elections officials and the volunteers who watched over the process. I am impressed the electorate came through in favor of expertise over politics in this race [and distressed the electorate chose Michael (“door-to-door knife fight“) Baumgartner, a career politician,  over CPA David Green in the race for Spokane County Treasurer.]

Equally distressing is the 3,500 voters who wrote in a candidate and the 46,000 who turned in ballots (20% of the 232,000 turned in) but didn’t do the research and vote in this race. I suppose one also might wonder how many of the votes that were actually cast in this race were cast by informed voters…

Take home message: 1) Elections can turn on very few votes. 2) Elections for local officials are often undervoted. 

All politics is local. Let us all resolve to be better informed voters for the local elections in August and November THIS year.

Keep to the high ground,

Jerry

The 116th Congress Opens Today, January 3, 2019

Dear Group,

Today, June 3, as the 116th Congress opens, we may take some solace in sending McMorris Rodgers back to the House of Representatives in a powerless position, part of a Republican minority, having lost her flagship position as head of the House Republican Conference to Liz Cheney (R-WY). The Republicans have even fewer House women (13, down from 25) to chose from to smile behind their new minority leader, Kevin McCarthy (R-CA). 

Ms. Cheney comes from the over-represented state of Wyoming where two Senators and one Representative represent a population of only 579,315. In contrast, the average Congressional District contains 711,000 people (as of the 2010 census). She holds the same seat her father, Dick Cheney, held from 1979 to 1989. Recently Ms. Cheney made a little news in Wyoming. She announced she will forgo her salary until the government shutdown is resolved. I’d be more impressed if I thought delaying her salary could be a financial hardship for her and her family, but I’m sure there is plenty of money to go around. Her father was not only Vice President under George W. Bush and Secretary of Defense under George H. W. Bush, but also the CEO of Halliburton when he was between government jobs in the late 1990s.

McMorris Rodgers was quoted in the NYTimes on December 29 in an article entitled “‘You Control Nothing’: House Republicans Brace for Life in the Minority”:

Trying to find the bright side, Representative Cathy McMorris Rodgers of Washington, a member of the departing Republican leadership, said it was an opportunity for Republicans to better hone their message.

“Being in the minority is a chance to think big picture and be visionary and make sure we are drawing the contrast between us and the Democrats,” Ms. McMorris Rodgers said. “As Republicans, we really need to focus on what it is going to take to win back the voters we lost in 2018.”

“We lost too many women, Republican women, in the suburbs and we lost men and women,” she said. “We must win hearts and minds, and we can do it.”

She definitely has her work cut out for her. Her actions will be harder to track now that reporters won’t be seeking out her opinion as a supposedly prominent Republican. It will take diligence to keep watch over her, call her office with our concerns, and press her to hold real town halls. She must be called to account for the actions of her party and her “positive disruptor” as we head toward 2020.

Keep to the high ground,

Jerry

Happy Holidays!

Dear Group,

I plan to take off the next two and a half weeks. The next time I plan to send out an email is Thursday, January 3, the same day the new U.S. Congress, the 116th, is seated. On that day all the legislation that didn’t become law in the last two year Congress, the 115th, resets. A congressperson has to put a new copy “in the hopper” to get started again. I’ve heard in the last two years there were around 700 bills passed by the House which the Senate never took up. I’m sure we’ll see many of these bills proposed again, but with less chance of getting by the House again this time around.

In 2019 there will be primary and general elections for municipal officials. These are elections for which voter turnout is typically low. It will behoove us to learn about the candidates and issues and to participate. This is where it starts. Personally, I find it much easier to gather information on candidates and issues nationally and state-wide than on counties, cities, and towns. Wikipedia and Google and even Ballotpedia are much less granular than a full understanding of our politics requires. I hope to clarify local civics for myself. Part of that process for me is writing about what I learn, so expect some missives on local government. 

I want to leave you with one striking example of the bias of Fox News. Tuesday evening after the surprise video of Trump, Pence, Nancy Pelosi and Charles Schemer sparing over Trump’s border wall I listened to and read a variety of media. When I got to FoxNews.com I found the following article posted at the top of their page as if they were reporting breaking news, not offering an opinion: “On border security, Pelosi and Schumer play politics while Trump fights to protect us.” (I looked for but did not see the small print “opinion” that appears with the web article now.) If you have ever wondered why conversing with a Fox News listener is like conversing with someone from another planet, reading this article will will offer an explanation. A constant with Fox News is the blurred line between opinion and reporting.

Enjoy the holiday season. I wish us all…and our country…well. Back on January 3. 

Keep to the high ground,

Jerry

Hastert’s Legacy

Dear Group,

Newt Gingrich, The Man Who Broke Politics (The Atlantic), was followed by Republican Dennis Hastert. Hastert served as Speaker of the House from 1999 to 2007. He resigned to become a lobbyist rather than serving in the minority in the House following the Democratic takeover in 2006. According to wikipedia [with a reference therein] Hastert “was the longest-serving Republican Speaker of the House in history, and is currently the highest-ranking holder of a political office in U.S. history to have served a prison sentence.” He is also the man whose name is attached to the Hastert Rule:

Under House rules, the Speaker schedules floor votes on pending legislation. The Hastert Rule says that the Speaker will not schedule a floor vote on any bill that does not have majority support within his or her party — even if the majority of the members of the House would vote to pass it. The rule keeps the minority party from passing bills with the assistance of a minority of majority party members.

The standard application of the Hastert Rule in the U.S. Congress is a barrier to bi-partisan cooperation and a reason for the dysfunction of Congress of which so many Americans disapprove.

The same Republican tactic applies to the Senate. S. 422: Blue Water Navy Vietnam Veterans Act of 2017. It is a two page bill that clarifies “Served in the Republic of Vietnam” to include the “territorial seas of such Republic.” The effect is to provide service-connected medical coverage to veterans for certain diseases related to the use of herbicides, veterans who served in Vietnam’s coastal waters.

You can see Jon Tester (D-MT) give a short speech on the subject here. The House already passed a similar bill with same name but a different number, H.R. 299, on June 25, 2018 (382 for to 45 against). Even McMorris Rodgers voted for it. The Senate bill has 53 co-sponsors, 38 Democrats, 14 Republicans, and 1 Independent. It seems clear other Senators would vote yea and carry the bill over the 60 vote hurdle if the bill came to the Senate floor. Time is limited, however. The whole process resets with the seating of the new Congress on January 3, 2019. Govtrack gives S. 422 only a 4% chance of becoming law. Mitch McConnell, as Senate majority leader, is unwilling to schedule a vote. It seems this is a Senate version of the Hastert Rule, a great contribution to Republican induced Congressional gridlock for which every Senator is made to bear the blame in the public’s perception of Congress.

McConnell would probably argue the Senate has more important things to accomplish before year’s end, like avoiding a Trump-led government shutdown over border wall funding. Perhaps he’s right, but if the Republican majority Congress cannot get its act together to deal with a simple piece of legislation like The Blue Water Navy Bill why should we believe it would be any speedier in reviewing rules painstakingly established by executive agencies? Remember that the next time you hear McMorris Rodgers advocating for the REINS Act (Regulations of the Executive in Need of Scrutiny). (CMR is a co-sponsor of this long running Republican attempt to cripple executive agencies.)

My condemnation of the so-called Hastert Rule is a little unusual since I’m applying it to the Senate, whereas the Speaker of the House who  follow the rule. The Senate has become more partisan and less collegial under McConnell. Now the same partisan, winner-takes-all principle in the House is on display in the Senate as well. In the House, Democratic Speakers in general have not gone along with “the majority of the majority” concept, whereas Republican Speakers have. If you’re interested in an accounting of that statement visit “Speakers’ views and use of the policy” in the wikipedia article on the Hastert Rule. Partisan gridlock is owned by the Republicans.

Keep to the high ground,

Jerry

Shared Reality

Dear Group,

I offer a snippet from Doug Muder’s Weekly Sift from last Monday, December 10, entitled “Making Truth Matter” For those of you who have not yet signed up for Mr. Muder’s Weekly Sift, I encourage you to do so in the left hand column of the article linked above. I guarantee more thought and reason in one of his his posts than you will find in 99% of the emails you receive, that is, if your emails are anything like mine.

The next four paragraphs from Muder’s December 10 post express my primary fear over where Trump and the Republicans are taking us. Increasingly, I am convinced our attitudes and values are shaped by what we share, read, and watch, material we mostly passively absorb from TV, radio, magazines, newspaper and people with whom we interact each day. Insofar as 1/3 of the American populace lives in a non-self-critical, non-self-checking media bubble, we are headed for trouble.

“This week’s featured post is “Why All the Bush Nostalgia?” In the end, I [Muder] find that what I’m nostalgic for is a shared reality that is accepted by both major parties and forms the playing field for our political contests. Now 1/3 of the country lives in its own reality and is virtually unreachable.

“The David Roberts interview…plays a key role in that post. [click here for the full transcript of the interview of David Roberts by Chris Hayes] Near the end of that conversation, Chris Hayes sums up: The problem isn’t with conservatives as individuals — Roberts has just said that they’re not dumb — but with the social processes of the conservative community.

Remember: Everyone’s got confirmation bias. Everyone does motivated reasoning. We’re all doing that. But in the divorce, one side got the actual institutions that do a pretty good job of producing knowledge, and the other side didn’t get any of it. That’s the key here. … The institutional universe of developed rigorous processes of attempting to get at the truth, the entirety of that, more or less, ended on the left side in the epistemic divorce.

“By “institutional universe” he means the scientific community, academia, and mainstream journalism.

As I read the above extended quote I kept hearing a characterization of universities by a Bonner County Commissioner as “liberal playgrounds”. That man, Glen Bailey, lost his seat to a further far right wing ideologue, a “cowboy pastor” and Redoubter in the Idaho primary election last May.

Keep to the high ground,
Jerry